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Books that try to predict the AI future: which one do you think gets it right?

A wave of recent books each stake out a different vision of where AI is headed over the next couple of decades — from utopian abundance and a human-machine merger, to outright human extinction if we're not careful. They can't all be right. Which author's prediction do you think comes closest to how things will actually play out, and why? Vote for the book whose case you find most convincing, or drop your own take in the comments.

🗳️ 15 votes so far🏆 Leading: Life 3.0 (Max Tegmark) — AI matches and then exceeds human intelligence, and the outcome ranges from a genuine utopia to a bleak dystopia depending on the choices we make now. (20%)🥈 The Coming Wave (Mustafa Suleyman) — AI and synthetic biology are unstoppable, cheap, and spreading fast — the real challenge is learning to contain them, not stopping them. (20%)🥉 Consider Phlebas (Iain M. Banks) — the opening novel of the Culture series, the one work of fiction on this list. Elon Musk has called the Culture books "by far the best" vision of an AI future out there, nothing else close. (20%)⚖️ Split decision🌍 🇨🇳 China
Life 3.0 (Max Tegmark) — AI matches and then exceeds human intelligence, and the outcome ranges from a genuine utopia to a bleak dystopia depending on the choices we make now.
The Coming Wave (Mustafa Suleyman) — AI and synthetic biology are unstoppable, cheap, and spreading fast — the real challenge is learning to contain them, not stopping them.
Consider Phlebas (Iain M. Banks) — the opening novel of the Culture series, the one work of fiction on this list. Elon Musk has called the Culture books "by far the best" vision of an AI future out there, nothing else close.

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🗳️ 326 votes so far🏆 Leading: He is brave (99%)🥈 He is stupid endangering himself (1%)🥉 No opinion / Not sure (1%)🌍 🇮🇳 India, 🇧🇷 Brazil, 🇺🇸 United States

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